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de gouden tip van buylow-sellhigh.com op het NOS journaal
th 19-2-2009 22:04:00 Baby, We Better Try To Get It Together
Given the disastrous Tuesday, the damage is so bad on the various exchanges. The bad news is that there has been no recovery. Most exchanges are stuck on the final level of last Tuesday, there were some futile attempts to recover, but they have failed. The signs remain poor and it remain wise to keep a parachute at hand.
And which shares provided the news in recent days, you guessed it, INGrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  ING BANK, Fortisrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  FORTIS OBAM, SNS reaalrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  SNS REAAL, Aegonrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  AEGON. It slowly becomes clear what a battlefield has been created by the credit crisis. It is strange to see that SNS 500mlj loses while the company is substantially smaller than ING, maybe ING does a 'reasonable' job or are there any unknown factors?
We haven’t heard from Balkenende in recent days, which is very convenient because the man behaves like an elephant in a china closet, his musketeer Zalm was in the news, he announced the end of Fortis and the beginning of ABN a sad day, I really liked the red people over de green and yellow.
Wall Street was mess since the all-star break. In three days we have lost between 5 and 6%, and we’re all the way back to levels of mid-January. It is however strange, that the indices since January 20 from each start to go there own way, Nasdaq100results simulation  index:NDX -4.7% SP500results simulation  index:SPX -7.6% DowJonesresults simulation  index:DJI -9.2%, technology may not be such a bad choice after all.
The computer model is doing great again, in 23 of the 24 cases the model beats the benchmark! Jippy!

Be care full out there!

P.
[zonning]



ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index-0,4%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-0,26%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index-0,59%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge0,1%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange0,71%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ-1,71%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 100-1,76%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index-1,19%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange-0,88%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 500-1,2%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange0,29%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 250-0,45%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange1,72%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange-0,04%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange0,22%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange0,11%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange-0,36%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 501,03%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 2001,07%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange1,48%

we 11-2-2009 23:06:00 What A Difference A Day Makes
It was a traditional Belgium - the Netherlands, this time the stakes are 4Mrd and Fortis Insurance. The Belgians are not happy with that deal Outer Boos announced early in October 2008. They feel that too little has been paid for the combination of Fortis Bank NL, ABN-Amro and Fortis Insurance NL. The shareholders of Fortisrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  FORTIS OBAM want an extra 4Mrd plus Fortis Insurance NL back to the holding.
The problem now is that the deal with BNP Paribas has to be OK’ed soon because otherwise the Fortis Holding will then almost certainly go bankrupt because they are not going to be able to not meet their obligations in the very near future, at least if we are to believe the current CEO. This soap will therefore continue for still some time.
Today Wallstreet went up almost 0.5%, not something to be happy about. It is still not completely clear whether yesterday’s sell-off was based on disappointed with the rescue plan for banks, or that it was case of 'sell the news'. We just have to wait and see.
Are there any interesting ante shares and / or sectors? Yes, mining is popular, especially the gold and silver mines, for more information look at the HOTListHOT list 11-02-2009.

Confused? You won't be, after tomorrows episode of...Soap!

P.



ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index1,08%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange0,76%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index0,72%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge-3,57%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange0,03%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ0,38%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 100-0,18%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index0,64%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange0,73%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 5000,8%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange0,5%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 2500,01%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange-2,03%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange0,52%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange-1,31%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange-0,91%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange-0,76%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 50-0,45%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 200-0,42%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange-0,53%

th 5-2-2009 23:34:00 Something Always Happens
It is perhaps not much, but there’s something happening. Unileverrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  UNILEVER did great; at least that’s what it looked to be at first sight. A friend of mine said once that Unilever always had its own methods for data presentation. Just like KPNrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  KPN KON used to do. Something to do with amortization, earnings before taxes. Maybe that is also known that the cause of that Unilever was the biggest loser of the day ...
The AEXresults simulation  AEX was capricious, but in the end didn’t do so bad, but the mood is anything but positive.
Wall Street was a different picture, a somber beginning, but a positive end. Outliers were the sectors Basic Materials, Energy and Utilities. The banks also did OK, after a bad start.

It remains a mad house.

P.



ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index1,39%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-0,89%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index1,6%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge2,68%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange1,58%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ2,06%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 1002,44%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index1,34%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange1,59%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 5001,64%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange0,01%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 2501,1%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange2,41%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange-0,6%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange2,15%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange1,93%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange0,15%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 50-0,1%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 200-0,27%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange-0,06%

mo 2-2-2009 21:50:00 It’s The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)
Have you ever been bungee jumping? If you didn’t know, it is about jumping from anything from 50 meters and up, with an elastic band tied to your legs.
The elastic band used, consists of all thin elastic wires and as a result, is very strong and it can be stretched very far. But it has an elastic limit to where you can stretch. Personally, I once had to run as far as I could with a bungee rope tight to my waist. There comes a point that you can get no further and the elastic will win, and if you are not careful you go with double speed backwards.
The Dow Jones is currently in just such a phase. We will not forward, so logically we are at the end of the elastic. The next stage is accelerated downwards....

Our computer model liquidated all its assets in most simulations so that’s good thing.

Now we just wait and see whether our computer model was right.

P.



ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index-1,02%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-1,06%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index-0,54%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge0%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange-1,61%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ1,22%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 1001,31%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index-0,8%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange-0,57%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 500-0,05%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange-1,73%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange-1,36%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange-1,2%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange-0,64%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange-0,81%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 50-1,34%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 200-1,21%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange-0,8%

sa 31-1-2009 12:38:00 Fairytale
There once was a credit crisis that kept the entire financial world in its grip. Nobody knew how to beat this terrible monster. As often, it was thought initially that it would blow over, but that was not the case. At one point, the credit crisis came very close to the people when suddenly a well known bank (Bear Stearnsrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  Trust Ctfs 2002 1 Bear Stearns Depositor) became the first innocent victim. Other banks gave first aid and everybody thought the credit crisis was over.
But not this credit crisis, the credit crisis was stronger, larger and other companies fell victim American International Grouprecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  American International Group, Inc., Lehman Brothers, Fortisrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  FORTIS OBAM to name but a few. The financial world became really scared, and looked desperately for a solution. The boss of the country felt that something to be done and asked the most important wizard to come up with a magical solution.
The main wizard came up with an idea. He had once worked for the money business and knew that you had to as a boss of a major financial institution you should ensure that everything you did everything necessary to make sure that your personal wealth was not affected. The head sorcerer had taken good notice and told the big boss that he had to give banks more money, and the problem should go away by itself.
The boss thought it was a great idea, more money, as simple and effective way. But the big boss had a lot of money, but not that much, so they had to borrow money to his neighbours. The big boss went to borrow money at the neighbours. The neighbours asked the big boss how he thought to pay it all back because he had a large debt to the neighbours and borrowing money was the whole cause of the credit crisis, you can not endlessly spend what you not have.
The big boss said it was no problem; he was soon to be replaced as big boss. The problem was already passed to a new big boss and it was his problem now
The big boss went to he small bosses to ask what they thought of to idea of the great magician. Unfortunately for the big boss, they could be re-elected, and as the great wizard had already learned, power and money are important, so they opted for their own benefit.
So the plan was dismissed. The credit crisis continued, one day the credit crisis was the strongest, the other day, lost the credit crisis area. That’s how it went for days to come, until a prince from a distant land arrived on his white horse. The prince held a flaming passionate speech in which he said that he and his friends could offer an answer to the problem. The answer was in their eyes, selling everything to them and then they solve all your problems.
The big boss thought it was a great plan, he gets money, they get the problems, and looks great doesn’t it?
And that is what happened; the prince and his friends could buy everything for almost no money at all.
In the land of the new big boss everything changed, the people became more economical, spend less, and credit crisis disappeared as mist in the afternoon Sun.

Would you believe it?

P.




th 29-1-2009 22:22:00 Man On The Moon
They can put people on the moon, but solving a credit crisis is a very different matter. Shellrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  ROYAL DUTCH SHELLA with a record profit for 2007 of $ 31.3blj or 21.8blj euro, but nobody really reacted positively to it. Shell closed at about 19 euros and that is still significantly below the price in May 2008 of 28 euros.
What should happen now for investors to think positive, take if from me, a gain of 3.6 euro per share and a P/E of 6.4 that are still fundamental figures that should be tempting for each investor.
It was announced that KLMrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  Air France-KLM and Boskalisrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  BOSKALIS WESTMINISTER will make their appearance in the AEX. We say farewell, to Fortisrecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  FORTIS OBAM and USG Peoplerecommendations of the last 365 trading days for  USG PEOPLE and there’s no real surprises in that.
Barack Obama commented on the bank employees giving themselves over 18blj worth of bonuses while the economy and bank rates plunged.
The sentiment was quite negative. The damage for the DowJonesresults simulation  index:DJI was somewhat limited, but the SP500results simulation  index:SPX and Nasdaq100results simulation  index:NDX received strong blows for a decrease of more than 3%.

The popularity of bank shares has only lasted one day..

it's a sad day afterall

P.


ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index-5,12%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-1,87%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index-1,84%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge3,67%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange-1,07%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ-3,24%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 100-2,59%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index-2,7%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange-3,65%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 500-3,31%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange-2,45%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 250-2,35%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange4,96%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange1,42%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange-1,71%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange-1,61%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange-1,01%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 500,85%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 2000,85%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange0,55%

th 20-1-2009 23:25:00 Goodbye Cruel World
Bye Bye George !!

Hello Barack !!

Welcome at the office, we hope you’ll have a pleasant stay with us for the next few years.

O yeah, before I forget to mention, the DowJonesresults simulation  index:DJI has dropped 4%, the SP500results simulation  index:SPX 5.3% and the Nasdaq100results simulation  index:NDX a mere 5.8%.

Have a nice day president Obama, as you can see your work has been cut out for the next few years.

For now crash alarms go off anywhere.... 220 comes dangerously in sight....

President Obama success

P.



ishares msci italy index fundresultaten simulatie MSCI Italy Index-7%
aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-2,08%
morgan stanley consumer indexresultaten simulatie MSCI Consumer Index-2,79%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge0%
amex composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@American Stock Exchange-3,87%
nasdaq compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@NASDAQ-5,78%
nasdaq 100 indexresultaten simulatie NASDAQ 100-5,14%
dow jones industrial resultaten simulatie Dow Jones Index-4,01%
nyse compositeresultaten simulatie All Stocks@New York Stock Exchange-6,11%
s&p 500 indexresultaten simulatie Standard & Poor 500-5,28%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange-0,42%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 250-1,18%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange-2,64%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange-2,06%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange-4,2%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange-3,81%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange-1,21%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 50-3,27%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 200-3,16%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange-3,4%

mo 19-1-2009 22:10:00 Der Kommandant
Barack Obama has unfolded his economic recovery plan. With 5 goals it starts to resemble an American variant of the Russian or Chinese economy.
The goals look beautiful like; the energy efficiency improvement of public buildings' How are the going to achieve that goal? Turn off all air conditioners?
Also a nice one ' automation healthcare systems' Now I do have some experience in the combination of automation and health care, but with my Dutch experience, I wonder how they are going to do it
Any ….. can make plans But the problem is that systems are not compatible and that the enforcement of such compatibility, for example by an Electronic Patient Dossier (EPD) also barely works because it is not clear where the budget will come from. Do the resellers pay the bill or the customers? or give the government an (ample) budget?
In the Netherlands everything went to external project managers working for the government and there was no budget for resellers, consequential; failure.

But maybe Barack is brighter ....


P.



aex indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Amsterdam Stock Exchange-1,34%
fortis obamresultaten simulatie Fortis Obam Challenge0,2%
ftse 100resultaten simulatie All Stocks@London Stock Exchange-0,93%
ftse 250resultaten simulatie FTSE 250-0,55%
hang sengresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Hong Kong Stock Exchange-0,2%
singapore straits times resultaten simulatie All Stocks@Singapore Stock Exchange1,5%
tsx 60 indexresultaten simulatie Toronto Stock Exchange-1,15%
tsx composite indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Toronto Stock Exchange-0,88%
italian mibtel indexresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Milan Stock Exchange-1,35%
s&p/asx all australian 50resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 501,11%
s&p/asx all australian 200resultaten simulatie S&P/ASX All Australian 2001,1%
asx all ordinariesresultaten simulatie All Stocks@Australian Stock Exchange1,05%


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