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| th 19-2-2009 22:04:00 Baby, We Better Try To Get It Together
Given the disastrous Tuesday, the damage is so bad on the various exchanges. The bad news is that there has been no recovery. Most exchanges are stuck on the final level of last Tuesday, there were some futile attempts to recover, but they have failed. The signs remain poor and it remain wise to keep a parachute at hand.
And which shares provided the news in recent days, you guessed it, ING , Fortis, SNS reaal, Aegon. It slowly becomes clear what a battlefield has been created by the credit crisis. It is strange to see that SNS 500mlj loses while the company is substantially smaller than ING, maybe ING does a 'reasonable' job or are there any unknown factors?
We haven’t heard from Balkenende in recent days, which is very convenient because the man behaves like an elephant in a china closet, his musketeer Zalm was in the news, he announced the end of Fortis and the beginning of ABN a sad day, I really liked the red people over de green and yellow.
Wall Street was mess since the all-star break. In three days we have lost between 5 and 6%, and we’re all the way back to levels of mid-January. It is however strange, that the indices since January 20 from each start to go there own way, Nasdaq100 -4.7% SP500 -7.6% DowJones -9.2%, technology may not be such a bad choice after all.
The computer model is doing great again, in 23 of the 24 cases the model beats the benchmark! Jippy!
Be care full out there!
P.
[zonning]
| ishares msci italy index fund |  -0,4% | | aex index | -0,26% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -0,59% | | fortis obam |  0,1% | | amex composite index | 0,71% | | nasdaq composite | -1,71% | | nasdaq 100 index | -1,76% | | dow jones industrial | -1,19% | | nyse composite | -0,88% | | s&p 500 index | -1,2% | | ftse 100 | 0,29% | | ftse 250 | -0,45% | | hang seng | 1,72% | | singapore straits times | -0,04% | | tsx 60 index | 0,22% | | tsx composite index | 0,11% | | italian mibtel index | -0,36% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,03% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,07% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,48% |
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| th 12-2-2009 23:35:00 Great Escape
Gary Lineker already said it, Football is a simple game, 22 people chase a ball for 90 minutes and at the end, the Germans win.
Today, it is not our eastern neighbors who miraculously won, but the Americans. It was amazing to see how the major indexes gained almost 3% within the hour. With a little luck we enjoy a similar rally in Europe tomorrow. Europe was a sad thing, AEX, CAC40, BEL20, DAX all worst than minus 2% .
There was almost no good news about any of the stock, and the worst came from Fortis which lost about 15%.
The Dutch government also generated negative messages; in order to keep the budget within the agreed frameworks, a round of austerity 20mrd is necessary. It is a matter of time or the other countries in the European Union will come with similar messages. The authorities come to a dilemma, we break the pact and we spend extra money? That is not good for inflation and the rate of the Euro or we keep to the budget rules and companies and citizens get a tough time
Tough choice, I wondered earlier whether the French the Germans wanted to take the fall for one other. The Czechs will have a difficult as chairman of the EU. I can’t make any use full comment on Wall street. the stocks closed mostly higher, rallying late on word of government subsidies for some distressed mortgages.
If such rumors are sufficient for such rallies, I do not mind
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -0,86% | | aex index | -1,98% | | morgan stanley consumer index | 0,58% | | fortis obam | 0,64% | | amex composite index | 0,18% | | nasdaq composite | 0,73% | | nasdaq 100 index | 1,28% | | dow jones industrial | -0,09% | | nyse composite | 0,07% | | s&p 500 index | 0,17% | | ftse 100 | -0,76% | | ftse 250 | 0,09% | | hang seng | -1,52% | | singapore straits times | 0,06% | | tsx 60 index | 0,73% | | tsx composite index | 0,54% | | italian mibtel index | -1,89% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,13% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,15% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,66% |
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| we 11-2-2009 23:06:00 What A Difference A Day Makes
It was a traditional Belgium - the Netherlands, this time the stakes are 4Mrd and Fortis Insurance. The Belgians are not happy with that deal Outer Boos announced early in October 2008. They feel that too little has been paid for the combination of Fortis Bank NL, ABN-Amro and Fortis Insurance NL. The shareholders of Fortis want an extra 4Mrd plus Fortis Insurance NL back to the holding.
The problem now is that the deal with BNP Paribas has to be OK’ed soon because otherwise the Fortis Holding will then almost certainly go bankrupt because they are not going to be able to not meet their obligations in the very near future, at least if we are to believe the current CEO. This soap will therefore continue for still some time.
Today Wallstreet went up almost 0.5%, not something to be happy about. It is still not completely clear whether yesterday’s sell-off was based on disappointed with the rescue plan for banks, or that it was case of 'sell the news'. We just have to wait and see.
Are there any interesting ante shares and / or sectors? Yes, mining is popular, especially the gold and silver mines, for more information look at the HOTList .
Confused? You won't be, after tomorrows episode of...Soap!
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | 1,08% | | aex index | 0,76% | | morgan stanley consumer index | 0,72% | | fortis obam | -3,57% | | amex composite index | 0,03% | | nasdaq composite | 0,38% | | nasdaq 100 index | -0,18% | | dow jones industrial | 0,64% | | nyse composite | 0,73% | | s&p 500 index | 0,8% | | ftse 100 | 0,5% | | ftse 250 | 0,01% | | hang seng | -2,03% | | singapore straits times | 0,52% | | tsx 60 index | -1,31% | | tsx composite index | -0,91% | | italian mibtel index | -0,76% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | -0,45% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | -0,42% | | asx all ordinaries | -0,53% |
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| th 10-2-2009 21:52:00 The Boom Boom Bap
Not all the news is good news, on fd.nl you couild read that the AEX has been the frontrunner in Europe with more than 5% profit in the first 29 trading days, it’s a place we’ve problably lost after today... What happened today; Arcerlor-Mital -84% in 4th quarter and Mr. Geithner gave a speech about how the crisis will be addressed. There must have been some little issues, because investors didn’t seem to like it, because the Dow Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq100 more than 4% lower, 15 minutes before closing. Oil prices alse went down $ 2.
May be the problem in the message was that there was more than 1 trillion dollars involved, in addition to the earlier 800 billion.
Wow, talk about money!
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -5,14% | | aex index | -4,32% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -4,05% | | fortis obam | -0,34% | | amex composite index | -3,74% | | nasdaq composite | -4,2% | | nasdaq 100 index | -4,09% | | dow jones industrial | -4,62% | | nyse composite | -4,84% | | s&p 500 index | -4,91% | | ftse 100 | -2,19% | | ftse 250 | -2,46% | | hang seng | -0,23% | | singapore straits times | -0,4% | | tsx 60 index | -2,55% | | tsx composite index | -2,42% | | italian mibtel index | -2,04% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | -0,61% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | -0,54% | | asx all ordinaries | -0,69% |
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| mo 9-2-2009 21:18:00 What Do You Want From Me
A little bit extra, a litle bit less, a clear direction is still hard to find. The stock exchanges are still in the grip of a possible rescue plan for banks. As a result all investors do nothing. This status-quo could well be going on for a while. In Amsterdam, the property funds were the winners, Corio & Unibail-Rodamco, they both gained over 5%. The losers were the publishers reed Elsevier & Wolters Kluwer declined over 2.5%. It was a day nobody will remember.
Wall Street wasn’t doing much better; everybody waited for the bailout option for the banks, but in the meantime, there are outliers General Electric 13%! Rio Tinto & Credit Suisse -8%
Wil someone please shake things up !!!
Forget this day, fast
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | 2,03% | | aex index | 0,52% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -0,45% | | fortis obam | 3,36% | | amex composite index | 1,35% | | nasdaq composite | -0,01% | | nasdaq 100 index | 0,33% | | dow jones industrial | -0,12% | | nyse composite | 0,08% | | s&p 500 index | 0,15% | | ftse 100 | 0,37% | | ftse 250 | 1,49% | | hang seng | 2,85% | | singapore straits times | -0,56% | | tsx 60 index | 0,4% | | tsx composite index | 0,44% | | italian mibtel index | 1,1% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,11% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,1% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,07% |
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| fr 6-2-2009 21:40:00 Don’t Stop The Show
Over het last two weeks, the mood on the stock exchanges, has been mostly influenced by the bank shares
January 28th; there is talk of a rescue plan for the banks, how is still unclear.
January 29th; it’s off
January 30th; no, there are no plans for the rescue of the banks.
February 2nd; no, really not.
February 3rd; well maybe, perhaps nevertheless
February 4th; no nevertheless but not
February 5th; have you heard, there is still a possible rescue plan for banks
February 6th; there is talk of a rescue plan for the banks, how is still unclear.
If it’s up to me, please let it continue for a few weeks, because never mind how, the indexes AEX, DowJones, SP500 and the Nasdaq100 have all gone up by at least 3%
Let the show go on!
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | 3,47% | | aex index | 3,5% | | morgan stanley consumer index | 1,71% | | fortis obam | 1,61% | | amex composite index | 0,8% | | nasdaq composite | 2,94% | | nasdaq 100 index | 2,6% | | dow jones industrial | 2,7% | | nyse composite | 2,8% | | s&p 500 index | 2,69% | | ftse 100 | 1,49% | | ftse 250 | 2,67% | | hang seng | -0,36% | | singapore straits times | -0,51% | | tsx 60 index | 1,53% | | tsx composite index | 1,66% | | italian mibtel index | 2,11% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,35% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,23% | | asx all ordinaries | 0,65% |
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| mo 2-2-2009 21:50:00 It’s The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)
Have you ever been bungee jumping? If you didn’t know, it is about jumping from anything from 50 meters and up, with an elastic band tied to your legs.
The elastic band used, consists of all thin elastic wires and as a result, is very strong and it can be stretched very far. But it has an elastic limit to where you can stretch. Personally, I once had to run as far as I could with a bungee rope tight to my waist. There comes a point that you can get no further and the elastic will win, and if you are not careful you go with double speed backwards.
The Dow Jones is currently in just such a phase. We will not forward, so logically we are at the end of the elastic. The next stage is accelerated downwards....
Our computer model liquidated all its assets in most simulations so that’s good thing.
Now we just wait and see whether our computer model was right.
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -1,02% | | aex index | -1,06% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -0,54% | | fortis obam |  0% | | amex composite index | -1,61% | | nasdaq composite | 1,22% | | nasdaq 100 index | 1,31% | | dow jones industrial | -0,8% | | nyse composite | -0,57% | | s&p 500 index | -0,05% | | ftse 100 | -1,73% | | hang seng | -1,36% | | singapore straits times | -1,2% | | tsx 60 index | -0,64% | | tsx composite index | -0,81% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | -1,34% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | -1,21% | | asx all ordinaries | -0,8% |
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| sa 31-1-2009 12:38:00 Fairytale
There once was a credit crisis that kept the entire financial world in its grip. Nobody knew how to beat this terrible monster. As often, it was thought initially that it would blow over, but that was not the case. At one point, the credit crisis came very close to the people when suddenly a well known bank (Bear Stearns) became the first innocent victim. Other banks gave first aid and everybody thought the credit crisis was over.
But not this credit crisis, the credit crisis was stronger, larger and other companies fell victim American International Group, Lehman Brothers, Fortis to name but a few. The financial world became really scared, and looked desperately for a solution. The boss of the country felt that something to be done and asked the most important wizard to come up with a magical solution.
The main wizard came up with an idea. He had once worked for the money business and knew that you had to as a boss of a major financial institution you should ensure that everything you did everything necessary to make sure that your personal wealth was not affected. The head sorcerer had taken good notice and told the big boss that he had to give banks more money, and the problem should go away by itself.
The boss thought it was a great idea, more money, as simple and effective way. But the big boss had a lot of money, but not that much, so they had to borrow money to his neighbours. The big boss went to borrow money at the neighbours. The neighbours asked the big boss how he thought to pay it all back because he had a large debt to the neighbours and borrowing money was the whole cause of the credit crisis, you can not endlessly spend what you not have.
The big boss said it was no problem; he was soon to be replaced as big boss. The problem was already passed to a new big boss and it was his problem now
The big boss went to he small bosses to ask what they thought of to idea of the great magician. Unfortunately for the big boss, they could be re-elected, and as the great wizard had already learned, power and money are important, so they opted for their own benefit.
So the plan was dismissed. The credit crisis continued, one day the credit crisis was the strongest, the other day, lost the credit crisis area. That’s how it went for days to come, until a prince from a distant land arrived on his white horse. The prince held a flaming passionate speech in which he said that he and his friends could offer an answer to the problem. The answer was in their eyes, selling everything to them and then they solve all your problems.
The big boss thought it was a great plan, he gets money, they get the problems, and looks great doesn’t it?
And that is what happened; the prince and his friends could buy everything for almost no money at all.
In the land of the new big boss everything changed, the people became more economical, spend less, and credit crisis disappeared as mist in the afternoon Sun.
Would you believe it?
P.
|
| th 20-1-2009 23:25:00 Goodbye Cruel World
Bye Bye George !!
Hello Barack !!
Welcome at the office, we hope you’ll have a pleasant stay with us for the next few years.
O yeah, before I forget to mention, the DowJones has dropped 4%, the SP500 5.3% and the Nasdaq100 a mere 5.8%.
Have a nice day president Obama, as you can see your work has been cut out for the next few years.
For now crash alarms go off anywhere.... 220 comes dangerously in sight....
President Obama success
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -7% | | aex index | -2,08% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -2,79% | | fortis obam | 0% | | amex composite index | -3,87% | | nasdaq composite | -5,78% | | nasdaq 100 index | -5,14% | | dow jones industrial | -4,01% | | nyse composite | -6,11% | | s&p 500 index | -5,28% | | ftse 100 | -0,42% | | ftse 250 | -1,18% | | hang seng | -2,64% | | singapore straits times | -2,06% | | tsx 60 index | -4,2% | | tsx composite index | -3,81% | | italian mibtel index | -1,21% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | -3,27% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | -3,16% | | asx all ordinaries | -3,4% |
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| mo 19-1-2009 22:10:00 Der Kommandant
Barack Obama has unfolded his economic recovery plan. With 5 goals it starts to resemble an American variant of the Russian or Chinese economy.
The goals look beautiful like; the energy efficiency improvement of public buildings' How are the going to achieve that goal? Turn off all air conditioners?
Also a nice one ' automation healthcare systems' Now I do have some experience in the combination of automation and health care, but with my Dutch experience, I wonder how they are going to do it
Any ….. can make plans But the problem is that systems are not compatible and that the enforcement of such compatibility, for example by an Electronic Patient Dossier (EPD) also barely works because it is not clear where the budget will come from. Do the resellers pay the bill or the customers? or give the government an (ample) budget?
In the Netherlands everything went to external project managers working for the government and there was no budget for resellers, consequential; failure.
But maybe Barack is brighter ....
P.
| aex index | -1,34% | | fortis obam | 0,2% | | ftse 100 | -0,93% | | ftse 250 | -0,55% | | hang seng | -0,2% | | singapore straits times | 1,5% | | tsx 60 index | -1,15% | | tsx composite index | -0,88% | | italian mibtel index | -1,35% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,11% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,1% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,05% |
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