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| th 19-2-2009 22:04:00 Baby, We Better Try To Get It Together
Given the disastrous Tuesday, the damage is so bad on the various exchanges. The bad news is that there has been no recovery. Most exchanges are stuck on the final level of last Tuesday, there were some futile attempts to recover, but they have failed. The signs remain poor and it remain wise to keep a parachute at hand.
And which shares provided the news in recent days, you guessed it, ING , Fortis, SNS reaal, Aegon. It slowly becomes clear what a battlefield has been created by the credit crisis. It is strange to see that SNS 500mlj loses while the company is substantially smaller than ING, maybe ING does a 'reasonable' job or are there any unknown factors?
We haven’t heard from Balkenende in recent days, which is very convenient because the man behaves like an elephant in a china closet, his musketeer Zalm was in the news, he announced the end of Fortis and the beginning of ABN a sad day, I really liked the red people over de green and yellow.
Wall Street was mess since the all-star break. In three days we have lost between 5 and 6%, and we’re all the way back to levels of mid-January. It is however strange, that the indices since January 20 from each start to go there own way, Nasdaq100 -4.7% SP500 -7.6% DowJones -9.2%, technology may not be such a bad choice after all.
The computer model is doing great again, in 23 of the 24 cases the model beats the benchmark! Jippy!
Be care full out there!
P.
[zonning]
| ishares msci italy index fund |  -0,4% | | aex index | -0,26% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -0,59% | | fortis obam |  0,1% | | amex composite index | 0,71% | | nasdaq composite | -1,71% | | nasdaq 100 index | -1,76% | | dow jones industrial | -1,19% | | nyse composite | -0,88% | | s&p 500 index | -1,2% | | ftse 100 | 0,29% | | ftse 250 | -0,45% | | hang seng | 1,72% | | singapore straits times | -0,04% | | tsx 60 index | 0,22% | | tsx composite index | 0,11% | | italian mibtel index | -0,36% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,03% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,07% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,48% |
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| th 12-2-2009 23:35:00 Great Escape
Gary Lineker already said it, Football is a simple game, 22 people chase a ball for 90 minutes and at the end, the Germans win.
Today, it is not our eastern neighbors who miraculously won, but the Americans. It was amazing to see how the major indexes gained almost 3% within the hour. With a little luck we enjoy a similar rally in Europe tomorrow. Europe was a sad thing, AEX, CAC40, BEL20, DAX all worst than minus 2% .
There was almost no good news about any of the stock, and the worst came from Fortis which lost about 15%.
The Dutch government also generated negative messages; in order to keep the budget within the agreed frameworks, a round of austerity 20mrd is necessary. It is a matter of time or the other countries in the European Union will come with similar messages. The authorities come to a dilemma, we break the pact and we spend extra money? That is not good for inflation and the rate of the Euro or we keep to the budget rules and companies and citizens get a tough time
Tough choice, I wondered earlier whether the French the Germans wanted to take the fall for one other. The Czechs will have a difficult as chairman of the EU. I can’t make any use full comment on Wall street. the stocks closed mostly higher, rallying late on word of government subsidies for some distressed mortgages.
If such rumors are sufficient for such rallies, I do not mind
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -0,86% | | aex index | -1,98% | | morgan stanley consumer index | 0,58% | | fortis obam | 0,64% | | amex composite index | 0,18% | | nasdaq composite | 0,73% | | nasdaq 100 index | 1,28% | | dow jones industrial | -0,09% | | nyse composite | 0,07% | | s&p 500 index | 0,17% | | ftse 100 | -0,76% | | ftse 250 | 0,09% | | hang seng | -1,52% | | singapore straits times | 0,06% | | tsx 60 index | 0,73% | | tsx composite index | 0,54% | | italian mibtel index | -1,89% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,13% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,15% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,66% |
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| mo 2-2-2009 21:50:00 It’s The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)
Have you ever been bungee jumping? If you didn’t know, it is about jumping from anything from 50 meters and up, with an elastic band tied to your legs.
The elastic band used, consists of all thin elastic wires and as a result, is very strong and it can be stretched very far. But it has an elastic limit to where you can stretch. Personally, I once had to run as far as I could with a bungee rope tight to my waist. There comes a point that you can get no further and the elastic will win, and if you are not careful you go with double speed backwards.
The Dow Jones is currently in just such a phase. We will not forward, so logically we are at the end of the elastic. The next stage is accelerated downwards....
Our computer model liquidated all its assets in most simulations so that’s good thing.
Now we just wait and see whether our computer model was right.
P.
| ishares msci italy index fund | -1,02% | | aex index | -1,06% | | morgan stanley consumer index | -0,54% | | fortis obam |  0% | | amex composite index | -1,61% | | nasdaq composite | 1,22% | | nasdaq 100 index | 1,31% | | dow jones industrial | -0,8% | | nyse composite | -0,57% | | s&p 500 index | -0,05% | | ftse 100 | -1,73% | | hang seng | -1,36% | | singapore straits times | -1,2% | | tsx 60 index | -0,64% | | tsx composite index | -0,81% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | -1,34% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | -1,21% | | asx all ordinaries | -0,8% |
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| mo 19-1-2009 22:10:00 Der Kommandant
Barack Obama has unfolded his economic recovery plan. With 5 goals it starts to resemble an American variant of the Russian or Chinese economy.
The goals look beautiful like; the energy efficiency improvement of public buildings' How are the going to achieve that goal? Turn off all air conditioners?
Also a nice one ' automation healthcare systems' Now I do have some experience in the combination of automation and health care, but with my Dutch experience, I wonder how they are going to do it
Any ….. can make plans But the problem is that systems are not compatible and that the enforcement of such compatibility, for example by an Electronic Patient Dossier (EPD) also barely works because it is not clear where the budget will come from. Do the resellers pay the bill or the customers? or give the government an (ample) budget?
In the Netherlands everything went to external project managers working for the government and there was no budget for resellers, consequential; failure.
But maybe Barack is brighter ....
P.
| aex index | -1,34% | | fortis obam | 0,2% | | ftse 100 | -0,93% | | ftse 250 | -0,55% | | hang seng | -0,2% | | singapore straits times | 1,5% | | tsx 60 index | -1,15% | | tsx composite index | -0,88% | | italian mibtel index | -1,35% | | s&p/asx all australian 50 | 1,11% | | s&p/asx all australian 200 | 1,1% | | asx all ordinaries | 1,05% |
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